{"version":"1.9","identifier":"b4b99ac8-0f46-42a3-9826-8369cc222083","language":"en-US","title":"DOJ tells about 20 Democrats they may be targets in Alaska Senate inquiry as votes are counted","layout":{"columns":7,"width":1024,"margin":32,"gutter":20},"componentLayouts":{"text":{"columnStart":0,"columnSpan":7,"maximumContentWidth":720,"margin":{"top":12,"bottom":12}},"photo":{"columnStart":0,"columnSpan":7,"margin":{"top":20,"bottom":20}}},"componentTextStyles":{"default":{"fontName":"HelveticaNeue","fontSize":18,"lineHeight":29,"textColor":"#171717"},"headline":{"fontName":"HelveticaNeue-Bold","fontSize":36,"lineHeight":42,"conditional":[{"conditions":{"maxViewportWidth":480},"fontSize":28,"lineHeight":34}]},"intro":{"fontName":"HelveticaNeue","fontSize":20,"lineHeight":28,"textColor":"#555555"},"caption":{"fontName":"HelveticaNeue","fontSize":13,"lineHeight":19,"textColor":"#666666"},"byline":{"fontName":"HelveticaNeue","fontSize":13,"lineHeight":20,"textColor":"#666666"},"body":{"fontName":"HelveticaNeue","fontSize":18,"lineHeight":29,"paragraphSpacingAfter":14,"linkStyle":{"textColor":"#00704a"}}},"metadata":{"canonicalURL":"https://567politics.com/news/alaska-senate-doj-target-letters-democrats-elias-two-sullivans-election-day-november-2026","datePublished":"2026-11-04T01:14:11.224357Z","dateModified":"2026-11-04T01:18:23.901589Z","authors":["Patrick Karsh"],"excerpt":"The New York Times reported on Election Day that the Justice Department sent target letters to Democrats, including Marc Elias, two days after a judge dismissed its suit to block certification. What is proven, alleged and unknown in the two-Sullivans dispute.","thumbnailURL":"https://pub-fac99da959e344fe99d810d309cef7df.r2.dev/photos/article/b4b99ac8-0f46-42a3-9826-8369cc222083/2cb75e73454827e9ca307d01557d088d.jpg","keywords":["elections"],"generatorName":"Frog News","generatorVersion":"1.0"},"components":[{"role":"title","text":"DOJ tells about 20 Democrats they may be targets in Alaska Senate inquiry as votes are counted","textStyle":"headline","layout":"text"},{"role":"intro","text":"The New York Times reported on Election Day that the Justice Department sent target letters to Democrats, including Marc Elias, two days after a judge dismissed its suit to block certification. What is proven, alleged and unknown in the two-Sullivans dispute.","textStyle":"intro","layout":"text"},{"role":"byline","text":"By Patrick Karsh · Published November 4, 2026","textStyle":"byline","layout":"text"},{"role":"photo","URL":"https://pub-fac99da959e344fe99d810d309cef7df.r2.dev/photos/article/b4b99ac8-0f46-42a3-9826-8369cc222083/2cb75e73454827e9ca307d01557d088d.jpg","caption":"Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, R-Alaska, in a photo from his official U.S. Senate biography page. He faces Democrat Mary Peltola and a second candidate named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Photo: Office of Sen. Dan Sullivan, U.S. Senate. · Office of Sen. Dan Sullivan, U.S. Senate (public domain, U.S. government work)","accessibilityCaption":"Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, R-Alaska, in a photo from his official U.S. Senate biography page. He faces Democrat Mary Peltola and a second candidate named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Photo: Office of Sen. Dan Sullivan, U.S. Senate.","layout":"photo"},{"role":"caption","text":"Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, R-Alaska, in a photo from his official U.S. Senate biography page. He faces Democrat Mary Peltola and a second candidate named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Photo: Office of Sen. Dan Sullivan, U.S. Senate. · Office of Sen. Dan Sullivan, U.S. Senate (public domain, U.S. government work)","textStyle":"caption","layout":"text"},{"role":"body","format":"markdown","text":"Alaska voters went to the polls on Tuesday with two men named Sullivan on the U.S. Senate ballot, a dismissed federal lawsuit, a pending appeal, and a criminal inquiry that widened hours before the count began. The New York Times reported on Election Day that the Justice Department had sent letters to about 20 Democrats, including election lawyer Marc Elias and at least one official of the Senate Democrats' campaign arm, telling them they may be targets of the inquiry, per the [Philadelphia Inquirer's account of the report](https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/alaska-senate-race-doj-target-letters-democrats-inquiry-peltola-sullivan-20261103.html). A target letter signals that prosecutors consider someone a potential defendant; it is not a charge, and it proves nothing about guilt. The [Alaska Senate race](https://567politics.com/races/alaska-senate-2026) between Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola could decide control of the chamber. It has also become a test of how far the Justice Department can reach into a state-run election.\n\n## Who the second Sullivan is\n\nDaniel J. Sullivan Jr. is a retired elementary and middle school teacher from Petersburg, an island town of about 3,000 people in southeast Alaska. He has no relation to the senator. He says he ran out of frustration with an incumbent he sees as unresponsive. \"I want something to change, and it's my right to do that,\" he told the Associated Press in July, in a story carried by [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-13/to-the-gop-hes-a-sham-candidate-at-home-hes-mr-sullivan-ex-teacher-and-alaska-senate-hopeful). He called the claim that he worked with Peltola \"entirely false.\"\n\nHe filed as a Republican three days before the deadline, according to [Wikipedia's summary of the race](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska). In August he marked \"undeclared\" on an absentee ballot request, which changed his registration. \"I am frazzled by all of this,\" he told [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-26/dan-j-sullivan-switches-from-republican-to-undeclared-ahead-of-general-election).\n\nThe state tried to keep him off the ballot. Division of Elections Director Carol Beecher ruled on June 15 that he had not filed a \"good-faith candidacy,\" citing his lack of Republican Party ties and a campaign site that looked like the senator's. Anchorage Superior Court Judge Thomas Matthews reversed her on June 26, finding that Alaska law contains no motive test for candidates. The Alaska Supreme Court affirmed in a [one-paragraph order](https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/alaska-supreme-court-dan-sullivan-order.pdf) on June 29 (No. S-19935) and told the Division to decide how to list him \"within the confines of existing Alaska ballot design law.\" A full opinion was promised later.\n\nHe finished third in the August 18 top-four primary with 4,107 votes, or 2.5 percent, [Wikipedia reports](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska). He has raised about $20,000, mostly from Petersburg residents, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-11-01/judge-tosses-doj-lawsuit-that-sought-to-block-election-results-if-republican-sen-dan-sullivan-loses).\n\n## Why ranked-choice voting matters here\n\nAlaska's general election uses ranked-choice voting. Voters may rank one candidate or several. If no one clears 50 percent of first choices, the last-place candidate is dropped and those ballots move to their next choice, as [Alaska Public Media explains](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-05/what-to-know-about-alaskas-general-election). The ballot lists the incumbent as \"Dan S. Sullivan (Registered Republican) Incumbent\" and the challenger as \"Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.\" with no party label, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-26/dan-j-sullivan-switches-from-republican-to-undeclared-ahead-of-general-election).\n\nThe state argues the system limits any damage. A voter who ranks the wrong Sullivan first and the right one second still has their vote count for the senator once the challenger is eliminated, the Department of Law said in its [motion to dismiss](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-27/state-of-alaska-says-doj-lawsuit-over-senate-race-has-no-legal-basis). The weak spot is a ballot that ranks only \"Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.\" That ballot is exhausted when he drops out. [Data for Progress](https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/10/20/every-statewide-race-in-alaska-is-close-as-7-in-10-voters-worry-about-affording-gas-and-food) found that if every exhausted Sullivan Jr. ballot had gone to the senator, its October poll would have shown a tie instead of a 51-49 Peltola edge.\n\n**Two Sullivans: from disqualification to Election Day**\n\n* **2026-06-15**: Division of Elections Director Carol Beecher rules Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. ineligible\n* **2026-06-26**: Superior Court Judge Thomas Matthews orders him restored to the ballot\n* **2026-06-29**: Alaska Supreme Court affirms (No. S-19935); ballots print the next day\n* **2026-08-18**: Top-four primary: Peltola 49.5%, Sen. Sullivan 41.4%, Sullivan Jr. 2.5%\n* **2026-10-19**: Early voting begins in Alaska\n* **2026-10-22**: Justice Department sues Alaska to bar certification if Sen. Sullivan narrowly loses\n* **2026-10-28**: New York Times reports Peltola aides helped recruit a second Sullivan; Trump posts; Gov. Dunleavy orders a state probe\n* **2026-10-29**: DOJ files amended complaint adding Supremacy Clause claim\n* **2026-10-30**: U.S. Attorney Michael Heyman confirms a criminal investigation\n* **2026-11-01**: Judge Sharon Gleason dismisses the suit; DOJ files notice of appeal within an hour\n* **2026-11-03**: Election Day; Times reports DOJ letters to about 20 Democrats\n\n## What the Justice Department alleged and asked\n\nThe United States filed suit on October 22, 11 days before the election, and a judge [set a fast schedule](https://567politics.com/news/alaska-senate-doj-lawsuit-certification-court-schedule-october-2026) to hear it. President Trump said the next day, \"I'm the one that said do it,\" per [Oregon Public Broadcasting's AP report](https://www.opb.org/article/2026/10/23/trump-says-he-ordered-the-justice-department-s-lawsuit-over-alaska-s-us-senate-race/). The complaint, signed by Associate Attorney General Stanley Woodward, asked the court to block Alaska from certifying a Peltola win \"pending an investigation to determine whether votes cast for Daniel J. Sullivan were meant to be cast for Senator Sullivan.\" It relied on the National Voter Registration Act. The relief was conditional: it would apply only if the senator lost and would have won had the challenger's votes gone to him, per [ABC News](https://www.goodmorningamerica.com/news/story/judge-appears-skeptical-dojs-legal-maneuvering-alaska-lawsuit-137590192).\n\nOn October 29 the department filed an amended complaint that added a Supremacy Clause count and cited the Times reporting, per [Democracy Docket](https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/doj-seeks-to-wipe-out-bids-to-dismiss-alaska-election-case-after-amending-lawsuit/). It also [asked the state to \"preserve and segregate\" ballots](https://567politics.com/news/alaska-senate-doj-segregate-sullivan-ballots-peltola-october-2026) marked for the challenger, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-11-01/judge-tosses-doj-lawsuit-that-sought-to-block-election-results-if-republican-sen-dan-sullivan-loses). It came amid a wider federal push that includes [DOJ poll monitors in all 50 states](https://567politics.com/news/doj-poll-monitors-all-50-states-walton-denies-naacp-tro-november-2026) and a [Ninth Circuit ruling](https://567politics.com/news/ninth-circuit-en-banc-6-5-reinstates-stay-thompson-order-doj-election-officials-november-2026) letting the department resume demands on election officials.\n\n## What the judge ruled, and why\n\nU.S. District Judge Sharon L. Gleason [dismissed the case](https://567politics.com/news/alaska-senate-doj-appeal-ninth-circuit-gleason-dismissal-november-2026) in a 20-page order on Sunday, November 1. The case is United States v. State of Alaska (CourtListener docket 75009254; no civil action number appeared in coverage we could open). Gleason found the government lacked standing. The United States \"failed to satisfy its burden to show that its alleged injury is redressable by a court order,\" she wrote, per [CBS News](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/judge-doj-lawsuit-alaska-senate-race-dan-sullivan/).\n\nShe also found the plan unworkable. Ballots already cast \"have been commingled and cannot now be segregated,\" and the government \"provides no workable plan as to how it proposes to segregate ballots cast for Daniel J. Sullivan on Election Day\" while keeping votes secret, per [Law\\&Crime via Yahoo](https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/absence-explanation-judge-halts-trump-205325568.html). \"These requests certainly involve the time, place, and manner of Alaska's election,\" she wrote, and \"such late-breaking changes to the election rules are strongly disfavored,\" per the [Juneau Independent](https://www.juneauindependent.com/post/judge-dismisses-doj-s-lawsuit-involving-peltola-campaign-allegations). She did not rule on whether the challenger was recruited.\n\nThe department filed a notice of appeal to the Ninth Circuit about an hour later. A spokesperson said the judge \"did not dispute the argument of the United States that Daniel J. Sullivan (a/k/a Decoy Dan)\" was a frivolous candidate, and that \"Alaskan voters deserve a fair election, not to be misled in an attempt to rig outcomes,\" per [CBS News](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/judge-doj-lawsuit-alaska-senate-race-dan-sullivan/).","textStyle":"body","layout":"text"},{"role":"htmltable","html":"<table><tr><th>DOJ asked for</th><th>Judge Gleason's answer</th></tr><tr><td>Bar certification if Sen. Sullivan loses by less than Sullivan Jr.'s total</td><td>Dismissed; injury not redressable by a court</td></tr><tr><td>Segregate and preserve ballots marked for Sullivan Jr.</td><td>Ballots are commingled; &quot;no workable plan&quot;</td></tr><tr><td>Investigate what those voters intended</td><td>Would threaten ballot secrecy and deter voting</td></tr><tr><td>Relief under the NVRA and Supremacy Clause</td><td>Not reached; case dismissed on standing</td></tr></table>","layout":"text"},{"role":"body","format":"markdown","text":"## The Trump, DOJ and Sullivan-campaign position\n\n[President Trump](https://567politics.com/politicians/donald-trump) has treated the second candidacy as fraud. On October 28 he posted on Truth Social that \"the Democrats in Alaska illegally searched for, and recruited, a man named Dan Sullivan\" to \"defraud, confuse, and obfuscate the Election, thereby taking votes away from the REAL Senator, Dan Sullivan.\" The post is at [truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117520106264955050](https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117520106264955050), as reported by [Breitbart](https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2026/10/28/trump-democrats-fake-alaska-senate-candidate-scheme-a-fraud-on-the-american-public/). He added that Democrats \"perjured themselves\" in court filings and that \"Mary Peltola should suffer the Legal and Political consequences,\" per [Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/alaskas-two-dan-sullivans-controversy-just-got-more-complicated-12631913). On Tuesday he said on Fox & Friends that lawyer Marc Elias \"should go to jail, in my opinion,\" per the [Inquirer](https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/alaska-senate-race-doj-target-letters-democrats-inquiry-peltola-sullivan-20261103.html).\n\nU.S. Attorney Michael Heyman said on October 30 that the Times report caused a \"significant surge of law enforcement assets to Alaska.\" \"We are acting on it intensely and swiftly,\" he said, per the [Daily Independent](https://www.yourvalley.net/stories/top-federal-prosecutor-in-alaska-says-criminal-probe-underway-over-would-be-spoiler-senate,736472). He named no statute.\n\n[Sen. Sullivan](https://567politics.com/politicians/dan-sullivan) kept some distance from the lawsuit. Spokesman Nate Adams said in October, \"We'll let the DOJ complaint run its course,\" per [OPB](https://www.opb.org/article/2026/10/23/trump-says-he-ordered-the-justice-department-s-lawsuit-over-alaska-s-us-senate-race/). After the Times report, Adams said Peltola had spent \"months gaslighting Alaskans,\" per [Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/alaskas-two-dan-sullivans-controversy-just-got-more-complicated-12631913). On CNN on Sunday the senator said, \"I'm going to accept the election results,\" and of Peltola, \"There is no way this went on for a year that they weren't informing her,\" per [Al Jazeera](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/1/sullivan-vows-to-honour-alaska-race-outcome-us-judge-dismisses-doj-lawsuit). The NRSC has called him \"Fraud Sullivan\" since June, \"a Democrat planted by Mary Peltola and Chuck Schumer,\" per the [NRSC](https://www.nrsc.org/?p=16294).\n\n## The Peltola and Democratic position\n\nPeltola denies knowing about any recruitment. \"I knew nothing about any other candidates on the ballot except for me and the incumbent,\" she said on October 29. \"I am not interested in tricking voters,\" per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-30/mary-peltola-denies-ballot-stacking-allegations-at-juneau-campaign-rally). Asked whether someone on her staff could have been involved, she told KTUU, \"I honestly have no idea,\" per [Al Jazeera](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/1/sullivan-vows-to-honour-alaska-race-outcome-us-judge-dismisses-doj-lawsuit). Her campaign's written line is that it \"has no involvement with either Sullivan campaign,\" per [CBS News](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/judge-doj-lawsuit-alaska-senate-race-dan-sullivan/).\n\nOn the lawsuit, Peltola called it \"a complete lack of respect for Alaskans and their vote.\" Her campaign and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee moved to intervene on October 23, arguing that the NVRA \"exclusively regulates voter registration\" and that \"Nothing in the NVRA regulates which candidates are listed on ballots or how they are displayed,\" per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/2026-10-24/peltola-democratic-party-move-to-intervene-in-doj-election-lawsuit). DSCC executive director Devan Barber called it a \"sham lawsuit to overturn the will of Alaska voters,\" per [OPB](https://www.opb.org/article/2026/10/23/trump-says-he-ordered-the-justice-department-s-lawsuit-over-alaska-s-us-senate-race/).\n\nThe Times account, as summarized by [Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/alaskas-two-dan-sullivans-controversy-just-got-more-complicated-12631913), described an effort that began in 2025 to list Alaskans named Dan Sullivan; former Peltola campaign manager Elisa Rios was a source. Democrats say recruiting candidates, or \"ballot stacking,\" is common and \"not clearly illegal under state law,\" per the [Inquirer](https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/alaska-senate-race-doj-target-letters-democrats-inquiry-peltola-sullivan-20261103.html). After the Times reported Tuesday that about 20 Democrats, including Elias and at least one DSCC official, had received letters saying they might be targets, Elias posted, \"This is not normal and yet here we are.\" We could not find an Alaska Democratic Party statement.\n\n## The state's position\n\nThe State of Alaska, through the Department of Law, opposed the federal suit. Its motion called the complaint \"half-baked\" and said pulling ballots aside was \"not even possible,\" since ballots carry no names and are mixed in the box, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-11-01/judge-tosses-doj-lawsuit-that-sought-to-block-election-results-if-republican-sen-dan-sullivan-loses). \"If any voter remains confused, Alaska law allows voters to receive assistance from others,\" the state wrote, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-27/state-of-alaska-says-doj-lawsuit-over-senate-race-has-no-legal-basis).\n\nGov. Mike Dunleavy, a Republican, [ordered a state criminal probe](https://567politics.com/news/alaska-senate-doj-subpoenas-dunleavy-certification-october-2026) on October 28. \"We're going to ensure that we aren't going to send a scam to Washington,\" he told NewsNation, per [Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/dan-sullivan-alaska-mary-peltola-election-ballot-certification-12642522). Under Alaska Statute 15.15.450, the Division director, not the governor, certifies results; the governor later signs the senator-elect's credentials, a step law professor Jeff Feldman called typically \"a ministerial act.\" The target certification date is November 25. Ranked-choice tabulation is set for November 18, and ballots postmarked by November 3 keep arriving for days, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-05/what-to-know-about-alaskas-general-election). Nationwide closing times and mail deadlines are in our [Election Day guide](https://567politics.com/news/election-day-early-vote-final-totals-poll-closing-times-mail-ballot-deadlines-november-2026).\n\n## What election-law experts and civil-liberties groups say\n\nLegal scholars across the spectrum doubted the suit. \"The statute simply doesn't let the Department of Justice enjoin certification,\" Notre Dame law professor Derek Muller said, per [OPB](https://www.opb.org/article/2026/10/23/trump-says-he-ordered-the-justice-department-s-lawsuit-over-alaska-s-us-senate-race/). Former Republican state Senate president Rick Halford said, \"I think it's pretty well established law that states are in charge of their elections, not the federal government,\" per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-10-23/alaskans-legal-experts-condemn-federal-lawsuit-as-attempt-to-invalidate-the-vote-in-u-s-senate-race).\n\nSen. Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, wrote that \"The Department of Justice should have never filed this lawsuit,\" per [KATU](https://katu.com/news/nation-world/alaskas-republican-lisa-murkowski-knocks-doj-for-suing-against-senate-election-results-president-trump-administration-dan-sullivan-mary-peltola-midterms). The ACLU, ACLU of Alaska, League of Women Voters of Alaska and Common Cause sought to join the case against the government, per [Alaska Public Media](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/2026-10-24/peltola-democratic-party-move-to-intervene-in-doj-election-lawsuit). On the criminal side, Norman Eisen said, \"The criminal process is being abused for political purposes — if there was any doubt, just look at the timing,\" per the [Inquirer](https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/alaska-senate-race-doj-target-letters-democrats-inquiry-peltola-sullivan-20261103.html).\n\n## Precedent: same-name candidates elsewhere\n\nIn Florida's 2020 Senate District 37 race, a no-party candidate named Alex Rodriguez drew more than 6,000 votes against Democratic incumbent José Javier Rodríguez, who lost by 32 votes. Former Republican state Sen. Frank Artiles was convicted in September 2024 of three felonies for paying Rodriguez $44,000 and was sentenced to 60 days in jail, per [WUSF](https://www.wusf.org/politics-issues/2024-11-19/former-gop-lawmaker-artiles-sentenced-two-months-ghost-candidate-case). The judge there noted that running a ghost candidate was not itself illegal; the crime was in the payments. No such payment has been alleged publicly in Alaska.\n\n## The final polls\n\nOur earlier report on the [final Siena poll of Alaska](https://567politics.com/news/alaska-senate-peltola-sullivan-final-siena-poll-governor-november-2026) has more on the governor's race and the ranked-choice rounds.","textStyle":"body","layout":"text"},{"role":"htmltable","html":"<table><tr><th>Pollster</th><th>Dates (2026)</th><th>Sen. Sullivan</th><th>Peltola</th></tr><tr><td>Data for Progress (694 LV)</td><td>Oct. 8–16</td><td>44% (RCV final 49%)</td><td>47% (RCV final 51%)</td></tr><tr><td>InsiderAdvantage (1,200 LV)</td><td>Oct. 9–10</td><td>43%</td><td>48%</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (775 LV)</td><td>Oct. 12–15</td><td>42%</td><td>44%</td></tr><tr><td>Siena (610 LV)</td><td>Oct. 24–31</td><td>44%</td><td>47%</td></tr><tr><td>Alaska Survey Research (LV, ±3)</td><td>late Oct.</td><td>49% (final round)</td><td>51% (final round)</td></tr></table>","layout":"text"},{"role":"body","format":"markdown","text":"Sources: [Data for Progress](https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/10/20/every-statewide-race-in-alaska-is-close-as-7-in-10-voters-worry-about-affording-gas-and-food), [Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/mary-peltola-is-pulling-ahead-in-the-final-stretch-against-dan-sullivan-12592675), [The Hill/DDHQ](https://elections2026.thehill.com/polls/general-ballot-test/2026-ak-us-senate/alaska/lv-rv-adults/) and [Political Wire](https://politicalwire.com/2026/10/30/peltola-leads-sullivan-in-alaska-senate-race-3/). Sullivan Jr. drew 4 percent in the Data for Progress survey and 1.7 percent in InsiderAdvantage's. Every lead is inside the margin of error.\n\n## What people are saying online\n\nWe planned to close this story with a sample of posts from X and threads from r/politics, r/Conservative, r/alaska and r/moderatepolitics. We are not doing that, and readers deserve to know why. During the reporting window on the evening of November 3, our tools could not open X or Reddit pages, and the tool we use to verify a post against its live permalink failed on every X link we tried. Search-engine previews pointed to posts from a Fox News correspondent about new subpoenas, from a Republican senator urging a federal conspiracy charge, and from users on the left calling the suit a double standard. A preview is not a verified quotation, and this is a story about alleged deception, so we have left them out.\n\nWhat the verified record shows is in the sections above: an administration and a Republican committee calling the second candidacy a planted fraud; a Democratic candidate and party saying recruiting candidates is lawful and that she knew nothing of it; a Republican state government that fought the federal suit while opening its own probe; and a Republican senior senator, Lisa Murkowski, who said the suit should never have been filed. None of that is a measure of what Alaskans think. The only representative evidence is the polling above, which asked about the candidates, not about the lawsuit.\n\n## Money in the race\n\nCampaign money does not settle who recruited whom, but it shows who has a stake. The Federal Election Commission's record for [Sen. Sullivan's 2026 campaign](https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S4AK00214/?cycle=2026) (candidate S4AK00214, committee C00570994), as retrieved in our snapshot on November 3, 2026, lists 395 contributions from PACs and other committees totaling $1,936,758 for the 2026 cycle. That figure covers committee receipts only. It excludes individual donors and conduit gifts, does not net out refunds, and is not a career total. The largest committee givers at the $10,000 limit include the Air Line Pilots Association PAC, the American Bankers Association PAC, ConocoPhillips Spirit PAC, ExxonMobil PAC, Chevron Employees PAC, Koch Inc. PAC and JPMorgan Chase PAC. Employee PACs are distinct from corporate treasury money, which federal candidates may not accept.\n\nIndependent spending, reported separately and not coordinated with the campaigns, was larger and ran in both directions in the same snapshot: Right for Alaska reported about $1.15 million opposing Sullivan, AB PAC about $1.05 million opposing him, Americans for Prosperity Action about $987,000 supporting him, and SLF PAC about $328,000 supporting him. Smaller filers include VoteVets and the 907 Initiative on the opposing side and High Plains PAC on the supporting side. Comparable committee-level figures for Peltola were not pulled for this story. Funding alone shows interest, not control, and none of it bears on whether a second Sullivan was recruited.\n\n## What remains unknown\n\nWhether the challenger was recruited, and by whom, is alleged, not found. No court has ruled on it, and no one has been charged. The Peltola campaign and Sullivan Jr. deny it. The letters to about 20 Democrats have not been published, and the Inquirer notes it is unclear when they were sent or whether all recipients got them.\n\nThe Ninth Circuit's handling of the appeal is unknown. A wide Peltola win or a Sullivan win would likely moot it. Whether Gov. Dunleavy would sign credentials for a Peltola victory is also open; he has said officials would \"follow the law.\" The Alaska Supreme Court's full opinion on Sullivan Jr.'s ballot access had not appeared in sources we could access.\n\n## Sources and method\n\nThis piece draws on court filings as reported by Alaska Public Media, CBS News, the Juneau Independent, Democracy Docket and Law\\&Crime; the Alaska Supreme Court's June 29 order; AP stories via OPB; the Times report as reprinted by the Philadelphia Inquirer; and the other outlets linked above. CNBC, NBC News, The Hill, Axios, the Alaska Beacon, the Anchorage Daily News and CourtListener blocked our fetches, so we relied on other accounts of the same documents. Quotes appear as the cited outlet printed them. Campaign-finance figures come from a Federal Election Commission snapshot retrieved November 3, 2026, covering Schedule A committee receipts and separately reported independent expenditures; readers should open the FEC filings for current totals. X and Reddit pages could not be opened or verified during reporting, so no social posts are quoted. See our [methodology](https://567politics.com/methodology) for how we handle allegations, polls and online reactions.","textStyle":"body","layout":"text"}]}