United States · POLITICAL PROFILE
JD Vance
JD Vance’s path to national office followed military service, university and law school, work in investment, and publication of Hillbilly Elegy. He won an Ohio Senate seat in 2022 before joining the Republican presidential ticket in 2024.
THE RACE OVER TIME
How the markets have moved
Historical prices retain each source’s metric: Kalshi daily bid/ask midpoint, Polymarket outcome price, and ForecastEx daily close. Gemini and PredictIt show stored daily bid/ask observations where older provider history is unavailable. ForecastEx file dates use a 12:00 UTC display anchor. Lines join available observations; missing dates are not filled.
Accessible chart data
| Source | Party | UTC time | Price |
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Nomination and election-winner questions are shown separately. A listed contract does not establish candidacy or eligibility.
Compare the full field ↗THE BALLOT RECORD
JD Vance’s electoral history
Election outcomes and reported vote shares, from earliest to most recent. Each row links to its source.
Bars show the reported share of valid votes for the candidate, ticket or list specified in each row. Election systems and rounds differ; a 50% threshold does not apply to every contest. A missing bar means the vote share has not been documented here.
- Nominated
U.S. Senate · Ohio
Republican primary
32.22%Candidate vote share · 344,736 votes
FEC official 2022 results ↗ (Official source) - Elected
U.S. Senate · Ohio
General
53.03%Candidate vote share · 2,192,114 votes
FEC official 2022 results ↗ (Official source) - Elected
Vice president of the United States
Presidential ticket
Vote share not documented
Electoral College result
Trump–Vance ticket won 312 electoral votes. This is a vice-presidential ticket result; no separate national popular vote for vice president.
National Archives · certified Electoral College results ↗ (Official source)
Public-office elections and selected primary/recall stages. Internal party leadership elections are excluded. Missing vote figures are not estimated. The 2024 result belongs to the Trump–Vance ticket, not a separate vice-presidential popular vote. Reviewed 2026-10-25. This is a selected historical record, not a certification of an ongoing election. Reference compilations are labeled separately from official sources.
POLICY, NOT PERSONALITY
United States issue spectrum
Each number describes a policy position, not how good a politician is. Higher means more of the policy named on that scale. Scores are editorial interpretations, not scientific measurements. Israel and Palestine are independent axes.
Click a row to inspect its definition and evidence.
● Editorial placement · ◇ your private assessment
SELECTED ISSUE · Foreign policy
Israeli government: diplomatic & security support
Maintain most existing security cooperation
Why this placement: Cosponsors a resolution opposing withheld weapons for Israel.
A position on weapons delivery, not evidence of unconditional support for every Israeli government action.
Read source ↗ · Cosponsored Senate resolutionLocation: Sponsors and operative resolution · Evidence date: 2024 · Reviewed: 2026-10-25 · Confidence: Moderate. Historical evidence may not describe today’s position.
Measures policy toward the Israeli government, not attitudes toward Jewish people or Israeli civilians. Diplomatic recognition alone does not establish an arms-policy score.
What every step means
- 1End diplomatic and security ties
- 2Diplomatic isolation and broad sanctions
- 3Maintain ties; suspend military cooperation
- 4Maintain ties; restrict most arms transfers
- 5Conditional cooperation and civilian safeguards
- 6Continue cooperation with targeted restrictions
- 7Maintain most existing security cooperation
- 8Expand security cooperation with conditions
- 9Expand cooperation with few conditions
- 10Unconditional diplomatic and security backing
Method: use attributable votes, enacted measures, statements or a candidate’s own platform; identify source type and date; map the stated policy to the nearest defined step. Primary sources take priority. Conflicting or incomplete evidence stays qualified or unrated. No cross-issue total is calculated. Rubric v1.
THE ARGUMENTS, WITH CONTEXT
Supporters, detractors & a neutral assessment
Selected arguments, not a survey of all voters. Advocacy sources are labeled. Neutral assessment is 567politics editorial analysis of the cited record.
What supporters say
Supporters see his tariffs, skepticism of corporate power and working-class background as a break with business-first Republican politics.
Reuters · July 2024 ↗What detractors say
Critics question his reversal from outspoken Trump critic to loyal ally; his mentor John Barrasso instead attributed the change to Trump’s record in office.
Reuters · July 2024 ↗567POLITICS ANALYSIS
A neutral assessment
Vance’s change in alignment is documented. Whether it reflects conviction or ambition is an interpretation, not an established fact. His working-class message should be evaluated alongside specific policies and their effects.
Based on the sources in this profile; uncertainty and legal outcomes are stated explicitly.
THE ACCOUNTABILITY RECORD
Past scandals & controversies
Documented incidents, official findings and attributed allegations. Inclusion does not establish guilt; each entry states its status and the available response.
Springfield immigration claims
Vance amplified allegations that Haitian immigrants were eating pets in Springfield, Ohio. Local officials said there was no credible evidence supporting those allegations.
Response & outcome: Vance framed the controversy as drawing attention to immigration pressures; that does not substantiate the pet allegations.
FactCheck.org ↗CHECK BEFORE YOU SHARE
Rumors & gossip
We cover public-interest claims with attributable reporting or fact checks. We do not publish anonymous personal gossip as fact. A lack of entries is not a claim that no rumors exist.
Viral memoir / couch story
A viral post falsely claimed that Hillbilly Elegy contained a passage about a sexual encounter with a couch. The purported passage was invented.
This is a debunked claim about Vance, not an established incident.
NPR · rumor origins reporting ↗Editorial review: 2026-10-25. This is a selected historical record, not continuous legal-case monitoring.
HOW THEY GOT HERE
A career in milestones
Military service and education
After high school, served four years in the Marine Corps, including a tour in Iraq; later attended Ohio State University and Yale Law School.
Official source ↗Republican vice-presidential nominee
Donald Trump selected Vance as his running mate for the 2024 election.
Official source ↗Vice presidency
The White House identifies Vance as vice president following the 2024 election.
Official source ↗
Selected career milestones, reviewed 2026-10-25. These are sourced historical summaries, not exhaustive biographies. A market listing does not establish that a person has announced a campaign or is eligible to stand.