2026 · GOVERNOR
California.
What do the markets say?
California Governor election, 2026. Compare each source’s prices and how they have changed.
THE RACE OVER TIME
How the markets have moved
Historical prices retain each source’s metric: Kalshi daily bid/ask midpoint, Polymarket outcome price, and ForecastEx daily close. Gemini and PredictIt show stored daily bid/ask observations where older provider history is unavailable. ForecastEx file dates use a 12:00 UTC display anchor. Lines join available observations; missing dates are not filled.
Accessible chart data
| Source | Outcome | UTC time | Price |
|---|
What each market says
INDEPENDENT CONTRACTS · NO AVERAGINGThe same race can have different resolution rules across sources. Each price below belongs to its own contract.
Kalshi
Source updated 9/15/2026, 5:48:01 PM ET
View contract at Kalshi ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in California
GOVPARTYCA-26-DIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source updated 10/16/2026, 12:30:31 PM ET
View contract at Kalshi ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
Will the Republican party win the governorship in California
GOVPARTYCA-26-RIf a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket
No verified contract for this race from Polymarket.
ForecastEx
No verified contract for this race from ForecastEx.
Gemini
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at Gemini ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
GEMI-CAGOV26-BECERRAIf Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at Gemini ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
GEMI-CAGOV26-HILTONIf Steve Hilton is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
PredictIt
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31984Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Xavier Becerra. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31986Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Steve Hilton. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31982Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Kamala Harris. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31983Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Toni Atkins. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31985Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Katie Porter. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31987Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Rick Caruso. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31988Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Eleni Kounalakis. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:31989Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Antonio Villaraigosa. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:32248Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Ché Ahn. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:32386Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Alex Padilla. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:32681Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Tom Steyer. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:32684Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Chad Bianco. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:32908Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Eric Swalwell. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:33130Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Rob Bonta. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
YES bid/ask midpoint · daily observation
Collected during the scheduled daily refresh
View contract at PredictIt ↗Question, identity & settlement rules
California Governor election, 2026
8166:33626Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? Outcome: Matt Mahan. Prices refer to this provider’s YES contract. The original market page contains the binding settlement rules; nomination, candidate and party questions remain separate.
Reading the California election markets
These prices describe contracts about the california governor election, 2026, rather than the share of voters supporting a party. A 60% contract price is not a prediction of a 60% vote share.
Kalshi, Gemini and PredictIt use valid YES bid/ask midpoints. Polymarket uses its outcome-price feed. ForecastEx uses the most recently published daily closing price; its file date is shown. We show Democratic, Republican and any verified independent contracts separately, without forcing the prices to add up to 100%.
History comes from provider time series and observations stored by 567politics. If a provider is unavailable, available stored history is labeled. Missing data stays missing.
Contract mapping checked 2026-10-25. Full methodology ↗