G7 NATION · COUNTRY GUIDE
France
Politics by the numbers.
SOURCE COVERAGE
What can you compare?
Verified outcome contracts in the catalog, not vote shares or independent forecasts. Zero means no verified contract from that provider. Quotes and history appear when collected; a listing alone does not establish an active quote.
NEXT NATIONAL CYCLE
Presidential rounds: 18 April and 2 May 2027
Previous: 2024 legislative election; 2022 presidential election
GOVERNMENT SNAPSHOT
Emmanuel Macron
Head of state · reviewed 2026-10-25
How the election works
Semi-presidential republic with separately elected president and National Assembly.
The president is elected in two rounds. Legislative constituencies also use a two-round system, with different qualification rules.
The president appoints a prime minister; the government must be able to survive National Assembly confidence and censure votes. Presidential and legislative majorities can differ.
577 National Assembly seats · 289 is more than half of the full chamber. This neutral seat diagram illustrates chamber size; it does not assign winners or model confidence-vote rules.
Selected parties: Rassemblement National · Renaissance · La France Insoumise · Parti Socialiste · Les Républicains · Les Écologistes
FEATURED MARKET · national · Election outcome
2027 France presidential election
THE RACE OVER TIME
How the markets have moved
Historical prices retain each source’s metric: Kalshi daily bid/ask midpoint, Polymarket outcome price, and ForecastEx daily close. Gemini and PredictIt show stored daily bid/ask observations where older provider history is unavailable. ForecastEx file dates use a 12:00 UTC display anchor. Lines join available observations; missing dates are not filled.
Accessible chart data
| Source | Outcome | UTC time | Price |
|---|
Select up to four outcomes to compare their histories. Listings can represent people, parties, election dates or leadership changes; they do not establish candidacy or eligibility. Prices from separate contracts are not averaged. Nomination and general-election odds answer different questions.
Loading market prices…
Names are matched only by case, spacing and punctuation. Provider-specific wording and resolution rules remain available through each contract link. Market listings reflect the verified catalog dated 2026-10-25.
Full question, source contracts & rules ↗Questions the markets cover
Only verified provider contracts receive prices. Leadership-exit, election-timing, party-seat and election-winner questions are labeled separately. Markets may be absent for a future national election; regional markets are not substituted for a national forecast. This guide is an editorial snapshot, not continuous monitoring of officeholders or certified results.
Election outcome
20 issues in France
Our editorial watchlist is specific to this country. The numbers describe policy positions, not approval or a ranking of importance. Unreviewed politicians receive no inferred score.
Read all 20 issues and all ten steps for each scale ↗COMPARE THE RECORD
Where do they stand?
Legal immigration & asylum access · 1: Near-total closure of legal entry · 10: Minimal admission limits and broad regularization. Historical positions are dated in each profile; unreviewed positions stay blank.
Each score links to its politician’s evidence and full 10-step rubric. No overall ideological ranking.
Politicians & electoral histories
Jordan Bardella ↗
Jordan Bardella’s parliamentary record includes service in the European Parliament with France’s Rassemblement national delegation. The Parliament’s records document his committee work and political-group affiliations.
Career timeline · electoral record · issue evidenceMarine Le Pen ↗
Marine Le Pen’s National Assembly record documents successive terms representing Pas-de-Calais. Her profile below follows those parliamentary milestones and links separately to market contracts about the French presidency.
Career timeline · electoral record · issue evidencePrimary sources & review
Editorial guide reviewed 2026-10-25. Market quote dates appear beside each source. How we source and compare data ↗